Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.407149 0.481976 0.565389 0.665080 0.780791 0.910665 1.067280
2025-01-19 0.293018 0.388943 0.507305 0.663300 0.862598 1.107727 1.430991
2025-01-26 0.240343 0.347012 0.488734 0.689113 0.963130 1.322417 1.826429
2025-02-02 0.220261 0.340304 0.509513 0.762449 1.127268 1.629953 2.369454
2025-02-09 0.192733 0.316595 0.500729 0.789986 1.227320 1.856734 2.821806
2025-02-16 0.162466 0.282746 0.470699 0.779910 1.268188 1.999506 3.163892
2025-02-23 0.134912 0.248103 0.433554 0.752223 1.276335 2.090959 3.433952
2025-03-02 0.111534 0.216288 0.395875 0.717510 1.267219 2.151861 3.658470
2025-03-09 0.102069 0.207254 0.394773 0.742750 1.357279 2.375810 4.158656
2025-03-16 0.086646 0.184640 0.366623 0.717009 1.357066 2.450499 4.418857
2025-03-23 0.079124 0.175974 0.362426 0.733200 1.430751 2.654086 4.910234
2025-03-30 0.072538 0.168106 0.358555 0.749138 1.504799 2.863326 5.426565
2025-04-06 0.063904 0.154954 0.343391 0.743042 1.540040 3.011723 5.857295
2025-04-13 0.056684 0.143725 0.330681 0.740413 1.581940 3.176578 6.333510
2025-04-20 0.053078 0.140070 0.333201 0.768953 1.687473 3.468004 7.066481
2025-04-27 0.053901 0.147001 0.359377 0.850068 1.906487 3.992396 8.278978
2025-05-04 0.050713 0.143581 0.362044 0.880511 2.023560 4.327565 9.151409
2025-05-11 0.045075 0.132975 0.346824 0.869372 2.051476 4.487884 9.692329
2025-05-18 0.038989 0.120065 0.324330 0.838761 2.033769 4.553691 10.048071
2025-05-25 0.033300 0.107138 0.299890 0.800369 1.994394 4.570541 10.303731
2025-06-01 0.031598 0.105222 0.302835 0.828286 2.108111 4.918684 11.273147
2025-06-08 0.027481 0.095411 0.283954 0.799815 2.087781 4.976537 11.631508
2025-06-15 0.025786 0.092655 0.283431 0.817724 2.178866 5.284432 12.548321